Movie In a Minute... An Inconvenient Truth:

I'm no Gore fan, although I'd still take him (or just about anyone else vaguely qualified) over Dubya any day. I hate that all this grandstanding is being used to obscure one concrete, irrefutable fact: human activity has an influence on the natural functions of our planet. Even if we are in a "natural" upswing in the Earth's heating and cooling cycle, pouring CO2 and other gasses into the atmosphere accelerates or otherwise increases it. Polar bears and Grizzly bears have existed relatively near each other for centuries, but there is no record of them interbreeding. Now, the Polars are moving south and inserting their gene pool into another, to keep their species from complete extinction. This is a screaming klaxon of endangerment to anyone who cares to listen. Bugger the show-off stuff, this is actually happening, and we would have had to pay serious attention back in the 1970's in order to not make it worse. It is probably already too late now.

I'm beginning to think I need to start feeling sorry for you, as you have so few positive perspectives. I'd like to know more about the optomistic side of you.

" Stop talking about 'natural cycles'. These historically occur over 10s of thousands of years. Not a couple of decades. It's misdirection. " Yes, some of the natural cycles are in the 10s of thousands of years. That's why they are important. Those cycles are so huge that mankind can do very little to oppose them. It is an absolute fact that we are about 10 thousand years coming off the bottom of a cold cycle. The overall trend for the next 40 thousand years is toward warmer temperatures. Coming off that bottom as we are means the incidence of warm upspikes every few decades is going to increase. No matter what mankind does, there are going to be palm trees growing around Lake Michigan someday. More frequent warmer decades are going to happen no matter what because of those thousands of years long cycles. Now, as to the last few decades, I have done analysis on the data personally. The temperatures over the last many decades back over 100 years are not unusual in their variability at all. There have been ups and downs but recent changes to the up side are not catestrophic or even unusual. Nor is the rate of climate change about to become rapid. I've run the numbers. If you disagree, provide a link to the specific scientific study that disagrees. I'll read and analyize that study and respond to its author. My own estimates for the next 100 years are an earth about 1/2 to 1 1/2 degrees warmer with the oceans rising about 2 inches at the most. 1/2 inch is more likely. This is based on scientifically supplied numbers. I did the analysis. Climatologists provided the data. These numbers are actually similar to projections by climatologists. Look it up. My qualifications to do this analysis is that my speciality is data analysis of the stock market. I'm the inventor of 3 published methods of data analysis concerning stocks. The math is very similar to the math of climatology . BTW: Projections for the stock market and climatology are equally inaccurate. Anyone using these methods to predict with certainity huge changes in the climate is foolish. " There is very little in the Gore presentation that is a lie." Don't you think even a very little is too much lie? How about the lie that you can see the change in the ice core of the effect of the US anti pollution laws? Numerous scientists have disavowed this outrageous untruth in the Gore movie. How about the mis-use of data where Gore practically states that corolation is the same as causation? This is a lie that every scientist who uses statistics knows very well. How about the lie that 650,000 years of data is an extremely large data set? In terms of geological time, given the conclusions Gore wants you to jump to, this is a fraud. I could give you more lies from this film, but it has been awhile since I watched it twice and just the lies mentioned so far totally discredit the film. BTW: I was appalled at the intellectual dishonesty of this film. It is trash. Yes, I do know more than the Movie Picture Academy about data analysis. " The argument is over, the only issue is what will be done." The arguement is over? Ever hear of radiative forcing? Do you have any idea how much CO2 has to be added to the atmosphere to change the overall radiative forcing figure for the earth? Why is radiative forcing measured in watts per meter? What is the inherent shortcoming in this measure? How much as a percentage of the CO2 in the atmosphere was supplied by man? Ever figure the radiative forcing constant for the earth with and without the man made CO2? No? How can you be upset about the the man made CO2? You do not even know how much difference removing the man made CO2 would make. No, the arguement is not over. I can tell by your writing that you are an intelligent guy. When you actually look up some hard data and do some analysis on your own, you are going to be appalled at how you have been lied to. Don't take my word for it. Do some math.

What did you think of live earth concert with all those hypocrites, at least if you want to raise awareness maybe they should first practise what they preach, no wonder no one took them seriously.