GLOOM and DOOM !
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
United States
January 25, 2008 6:29am CST
Now, here's a really pessimistic outlook towards the world's financial outlook.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ft/20080124/bs_ft/fto012420081521332031
Near the end the author concedes that in the past markets have gone UP after going DOWN too much. Wow! He is brillant. In other news, the sun is expected to rise in the east tomorrow.
So, what's your opinion? Is the author overly pessimistic? Or not?
2 people like this
2 responses
@academic2 (7000)
• Uganda
25 Jan 08
America which drives the world economy appeared to be heading towards a dangerous recession for sometimes, only that very little was being said about it. I learnt though that when the Banks there cut interest rates, there were some very optimistic signs-so we probably think there is a problem but the problems can be fixed!
2 people like this
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
25 Jan 08
I agree there are no current economic problems which can not be fixed or overcome.
1 person likes this
@ladyluna (7004)
• United States
31 Jan 08
Hello Red,
The link to the story is no longer active. Here is the Yahoo message I receive when attempting to access the link.
"Sorry, the page you requested was not found.
The story or page you were trying to access may have expired...."
Without any details from the story, it's a little tough to gauge the argument that the author presented. Though, from your post, and the responses it sounds as though the article may be typical doom & gloom.
We see this alot, though most frequently from those who either have little experience, or have a great deal of knowledge about the global financial situation.
Though the market will rebound -- how much is always the great guess. There are a couple of realities that should be considered:
1. The U.S. global financial dominance will soon come to an end, unless the U.S. starts leading the world in innovative ideas & technologies again. Part of the reason for our current leaning toward a recession is that consumerism is driven by innovation. Generally speaking, most Americans (and many around the globe) already have computers, cell phones, and other such trendy gadgets. Again, generally speaking this leaves the demand side of the formula to folks who either have no need or interest in obtaining these products. Hence, the need for business to adapt. We all learned long ago that dinosaurs become extinct, no matter how big they are.
2. No matter how forward thinking business endeavors to be, there must be old fashioned stability to back up our forward leaps. This implies that many in the know are actually more concerned with the perception of other nations that we do not have:
A. The tangible reserves to pay our debts.
B. Military willingness to subdue intn'l bullies & thugs.
This goes back to the hegenomist argument that the USA
has the willingness and ability to maintain global
peace, whereby trade & commerce remain the forefront.
C. The commitment to technological advancement. This
relies heavily on creativity and innovation being
fostered among our young in their educational
process. Many other nations have stepped up to the
plate to foster creative thinking, while the U.S. has
place in on an educational back burner.
Since I am tossing a dart while blindfolded, I don't know whether I've touched on any of the authors concerns. The basis of my response lies with similarly gloomy forcasts that I've read on the financial pages. So, if I'm completely off the base, I'll ask for 'dummy' allowances.
1 person likes this
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
31 Jan 08
(John Wayne imitation voice)... "Well there lil' lady, that there's a purty durn good response, fer havin' no source article."
Seriously, the gloom and doomers are becoming kind of predictable.
I must add that I agree with them about much. My disagreement with the no longer available article is that ultimately this will not cause a permanent decline in US stock prices. The increase in the money supply will inflate the price of stocks just like it inflates everything else. The key point is that corrected for inflation, many stocks will be DOWN even though their price is UP.
As to being and staying an innovator and a leader in technology, that requires maximum freedom for many profound reasons, none of which Hillary Clinton, Barrack Obama, or John McCain seem to understand.
1 person likes this
@ladyluna (7004)
• United States
31 Jan 08
Wow Red,
That was a fabulous impersonation of the "Duke" I could almost see you swagger away. Ahhhh, the power of imagination.
I'm curious, how did the author suggest that U.S. stocks would be permanently affected by a minimal hiccup? Did he otherwise sound like he had any familiarity with the markets, or was there a detectable bias? I ask because I cannot imagine how anyone could make such a silly prediction. Was the author portending a career change to become the next: Madame Blavatsky, Arthur Ford, Jeanne Dixon, or Uri Geller.
Regarding your statement below, you couldn't be more on target!
"As to being and staying an innovator and a leader in technology, that requires maximum freedom for many profound reasons, none of which Hillary Clinton, Barrack Obama, or John McCain seem to understand."
Seriously, the gloom and doomers are becoming kind of predictable.
I must add that I agree with them about much. My disagreement with the no longer available article is that ultimately this will not cause a permanent decline in US stock prices. The increase in the money supply will inflate the price of stocks just like it inflates everything else. The key point is that corrected for inflation, many stocks will be DOWN even though their price is UP.
1 person likes this