Walmart's CEO believes that the economy won't stay bad for as long as we thought

United States
October 22, 2008 11:22pm CST
...because of gas prices. Now, lets set aside however each of us may feel about the gigantic corporation. What do you think about this? I personally believe it's a bit optimistic. Why? Well, we've moved on from the beginning stages of this already -- when gas prices played one of the biggest and most noticable roles. Now, it certainly will HELP if the gas prices continue to stay low. But to say that things will get better more quickly if the gas prices along go down, is optimistic because it's ignoring alot of other factors which can't really predict. Winter's the best example, because people naturally use more energy in the winter and incur higher costs. Considering how so many had a hard time this summer with the electricity bills alone, alot of you have already imagined just how unpleasant this winter might be -- maybe for yourself or just others in general. Then there's food costs. Which're pretty mutable right now, and for many...they're continuing to go up. In my area, anything with more than two ingredients has gone up in price. These things have so many other things that effect them, that it's mind-blowing to consider what might go wrong in this area. While low gas prices would undoubtably soothe quite a bit of this...alot of things could happen. Anything that effects the supply, for example -- droughts, natural disasters, man-made destruction, accidents, floods, and the worst of all the potentially bad things that effect the prices...the meltdowns and rising new super powers economically. Now, I'm not at all THAT gloomily looking at the future unless we lose the dollar due to our irresponsibly handling of inflation and debt. Things will certainly be bad, but I've confidence that through the tears we'll survive. But it's just...amazing, to me, to think about. Do you think I'm paranoid? Or do you think all that I've said (my expression of what I'm thinking about) is prudent? Maybe it's unwise to let something so simple get our hopes up? Does anyone else like to examine the intricacies of the economy and how it affects every part of our lives?
4 people like this
7 responses
@goldeneagle (6745)
• United States
23 Oct 08
well we surely don't see Walmart, or any other large corporation for that matter, offering to lower any of their prices to help out the American consumer now do we?? We all know that they can definitely afford to do so, and we all know that they could still manage to make a profit if they simply lowered their prices a little for a while. People would buy more stuff if the cost of the stuff they were buying was lower, and the burden of buying the things they need would be eased a little. I don't think there is any way to fix the economy quickly, but as long as the gas prices continue to come down, I don't think it will be as bad as it is now for long. The reason people are being laid off is simply because the rising costs of oil has driven the prices of gas, and in turn, pretty much everything else so high that people cannot afford to spend as they normally would. Lower oil prices will definitely help the situation. As for the mortgage crisis, I don't have enough knowledge of the industry to really know how long it will take to get past. I can only hope that something can be done to prevent people from losing their homes. I feel that the mortgage companies themselves are to blame for what is going on. They were loaning money for homes at prices that were much higher than what the homes were even close to actually being worth and the companies knew it. They knew that the values of these properties were going to decline, whether or not they wanted to admit it or not. Adding to the problem is that fact that many of the mortgages they were approving were adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) or balloon mortgages. They also knew that these payments were going to balloon in a couple of years, and that the values of the properties were likely going to be lower at the time when the payments ballooned, meaning that it was going to be harder or even impossible for people to make the payments. ARMs are not meant to be used for long-term financing. They are meant for customers to take advantage of the lower interest rates for a couple of years before financing into a fixed-rate mortgage with more of a set payment for the remainder of the mortgage term. However, with the values of the properties lower than they were when the original mortgage was written, it was harder for customers to find re-financing opportunities. Not being able to make the payments, they were left with only one option, sell their homes if possible. If they could not sell their homes, they would be foreclosed upon. This is why I say the companies are responsible for the mess they are in...
4 people like this
• United States
24 Oct 08
OK, initially you're very right. Alot of the job losses were because of gas prices. There was also rich corporations deciding to head for greener pastures in other countries, as well as bad policies/practices/greed killing alot of the bigger sorts of job markets. But the problem now, about unemployment is...it started a spiral downwards. Gas prices were indeed initially the cause, but now it's money that's the problem. Most people spent all of their "expendable income" already, which means that lower gas prices mayn't actually do much of anything for the job sector because people're afraid to spend ANYTHING. Which means less employees, which means less jobs, which means less money. A vicious circle indeed, a chain reaction of sorts. No quick fix, yes. I'm sure it will get better...sometime. Just how and when, no one really knows. It will help quite a few things, like law enforcement and the post office which were having hard times because of the high gas prices (although considering alot of local governments reporting that because of how little money they have, they're gonna cut services, I'm not sure what this exactly will mean in the end). It might help some kinds of food because the costs of the fuel to transport it will go down. But as coolseeds said, not all companies that work with providing us food won't lower their prices because now that they're paying less for gas, they'll be making more of a profit. The other upside is, gas prices have spurred a movement toward "local food" and small time farmers selling directly to the people. With gas prices somewhat lower, this will make this a slightly easier transition. Local food is naturally cheaper, and with no middle man between us and the farmers...that also helps quite a bit. The thing with this is, it's something like patchwork. Not all areas are seeing this movement, and not all areas CAN see this movement. Which makes food companies not wanting to lower prices, highly dismaying. As for the housing crisis...well, I think that's alot less complex than alot of people make it out to be. The whole problem was a combination of: bad and greedy policies/practices, people making stupid decisions, and people expecting that high priced houses would forever be a good market. The upside, as you touch on a bit, is that since the prices are now much lower...it is a buyer's market. Which is good news for the regular person...especially since alot of houses are being sold outright or traded -- no mortgages whatsoever! That's actually how we got this new house we're now in, we traded our old burnt out farm property for this farm house, so that we could stop renting in the city and have more breathing room. This whole bit is likely to end with a ton of houses with no one in them and no one wanting to buy them (which could mean several things for our society, though less things for our economy specifically)...and it'll mean more and more trouble for the banks. I'm HOPING that this will lead to more and more forgiveness and leniency to the regular person who's in trouble. ...so, I really hope you're right and that it won't last as long. But it's hard not to think alot of things are optimistic these days, isn't it?
@coolseeds (3919)
• United States
23 Oct 08
The gas prices are not low. They are lower than they were but they are far from low. If lowering the price of gasoline is going to make an impact then it needs to be $1.99 a gallon. The oil companies got our money during the summer. So there isn't anything left for holiday shopping. Hopefully someone will realize this and do something about it. During the past few years they also raised minimum wage. This had an effect on prices. They went up. People shouldn't accept a job if it doesn't pay enough. The business will close without employees or it will pay more. The next problem with a minimum wage increase is inexperienced workers are making as much as people who have done the same job for years. A 16 year old child who lives with their parents without any experience doesn't deserve minimum wage. When the gas prices increased so did the price of everything else. When the gas prices drop other items such as food do not. The manufacturer now makes a better profit because their prices remain high while they pay less for gas.
• United States
24 Oct 08
Overall, I think you make alot of good points...but on minimum wage I have to point out that a ton of businesses can't afford to pay anything above minimum wage anymore. Even bigger corporations, businesses have sortof downgraded in this area. So it's a good idea, in that it'll encourage the greedier jerks to cough up the money people need, but on the other hand it kills teetering businesses. ...I don't usually view this as either a good or bad thing, because it's a bit of both. Overall, I think we need to stop relying on the economic system to get money...and those of us who can need to make our own businesses -- as people're now pointing out, alot of the most successful businesses today started during crises! ...the system is ill, therefore, to rely on it...is madness. As for inexperienced people getting the jobs over the more qualified people -- I have to point to stupid employers rather than this being a direct cause. INDIRECT, perhaps. But this is the employer not being a good boss, and being lazy like that (I'm referring to the employer here)...is another component to this monster that's been built. ...bottom line is, we need to understand how things work more...think more than two steps ahead, and not just think about ourselves. It's one thing to find yourself a good job, but if it does not benefit your area...it's possible that your good job won't last. It's why I'm going to be trying to start my own business by micro-farming. If I can sell cheap home-grown food to the people in my area, then they have a little more money, they'll probably be healthier as well...which will have some sort of positive impact on my area specifically. Whether that will be enough, I have no idea. But I figured food was pretty disaster-proof...and while no businessman is completely disinterested in profit, at least I hold raising prices to ridiculous levels in disdain. ...I need my customers to come back, afterall. Offering something you can hardly find anywhere else, is the only way to achieve that. Food's not the only area, a few others are getting creative as well...but with things as they are, I think that we all need to be doing alot of thought, research and get more creative. Whether that's starting your own business, or choosing how best you can model your life for the next few years. ...anyway, I've rambled on. You've got a lot of political savvy, coolseeds!
@BunGirl (2638)
• United States
23 Oct 08
I think that gas prices have a greater impact than you are realizing, but like you I don't think it's the only thing that will matter. Lower gas prices mean lower heating oil prices, so that will help a lot of people get through the winter. One of the reasons that food prices have gone so high recently is that most food products rely on gasoline for transport. Anything that has to be shipped to and fro across the country has gone up due to the rising costs of transport. More interestingly though, the ethanol factor has caused quite a problem in our food economy. Ethanol is of course made from corn, so when so much corn is being used for the production of gasoline, it has caused the demand to go up. Corn syrup or corn oil is used in a huge variety of products, so those products costs have gone up. Corn is also one of the most common ingredients used in animal feeds, so the cost of meat and dairy products has raised. Hopefully all of this will eventually even out, but for now I think we have to accept that the cost of living is quite a bit more than it was just a few years ago!
2 people like this
@coolseeds (3919)
• United States
23 Oct 08
Notice how the food prices do not go down because of gas prices. Once you commit to paying higher prices... you do.
2 people like this
• China
23 Oct 08
Hi, We should be optimistic for the economy crysis although it has been spreaded to all the field of our life!Anyway,we should make ready for the serious crisis!!Thanks!
2 people like this
@kenchihi (121)
• Malaysia
23 Oct 08
How the economy will perform is anybody's guess. But, from what I have read lately, most prediction say there will be an upturn somewhere between 2009 and 2010. Though, I feel that is mostly optimistic, but only time will tell. As for gas prices, well, there are many factors involved. Just a few days ago, I read that OPEC is reducing production, citing lower consumer demand. Well, you know what happens after that. With less production, the price will slowly increase. In the end of the day, wealth is just being transferred from gas net importing countries to net exporting countries. Life is unfair? Too bad! What we can do now, is try our best to fix the situations. Let us just hope the Americans and all other governments in the world are doing something to prevent a major downturn. If I am not mistaken, the last 2 world wars was caused by depressing economies around the world. I hope the optimistic outlook will be true.
• United States
24 Oct 08
I think we all hope the optimistic outlook to be true. Fixing, of course, is easier said than done...of course, I believe that the best way to fix things, is to fix how we live and stop being so reliant on outside factors. Life's unfair? Well, if people're that upset then obviously they should work to be able to control their life more so that they can adjust the level of unfairness for themselves (and hopefully for those around them). Rely less on the success of others for their own success. I've read a few quotes from OPEC members, lately. Saying "Under $70 a barrel" is "unacceptable". Meanwhile, there's this bit about how natural gas producers are wanting to form an OPEC-esque type thing...which is, of course, MORE good news considering how OPEC's helped how screwed up things are with their mad quest for insane amounts of profit. This ain't time for complacency. War's probably a very good thing to be wary of, given the circumstances. Alot of really scared people are going, "Argh, watch, there will be a whole bunch of resource wars next" (ignoring alot of opinion about how Iraq WAS a funky sort of resource war and all that).
@redhotpogo (4401)
• United States
23 Oct 08
walmart better hope things don't get better fast. this bad economy thing has been really great for walmart. people who normally consider themselves too good to shop at walmart have been forced to shop there these days. I know this cause im a walmart employee and i see the business going on there. its crowded
@coolseeds (3919)
• United States
23 Oct 08
It is crowded because they forced all of the smaller local stores to close. Where do you shop where there is only a Super Wal-mart every 15 miles? The options are slim.
2 people like this
• United States
23 Oct 08
I don't really agree with that. Alot of those stores are more "high end" stores that did their own selves in with their greed. Walmart is actually helping businesses. Did you know that most of walmart isn't actually walmart? The general products in walmart like school supplies, and bath goods are all that walmart really has. The other areas of walmart are actually owned by other businesses that pay monthly rent to walmart stores. Like the photolab (fuji), the shoe dept, jewelry, pharmacy, also the little shops up front like the nail salon, hair salon, and the restaraunts that are in there like mcdonalds, taco bell, kfc.
2 people like this
• United States
24 Oct 08
Well I didn't say walmart wasn't corrupt. I can tell you things most people will never hear about. Serious corruption. False earnings reports, thefts that were setup by walmart itself to make money off losses. Then on the employee side, more work, less pay. Bonuses cut, pay raises cut, hours cut. Sam walton's kids have taken what was a really good company, and turned it into a beast. If sam walton were alive i'm sure he would be having a fit. So yeah there's good and bad. But i've worked for worse.
@newtondak (3946)
• United States
23 Oct 08
I'm sure that Walmart would like for the American public to believe that the economy is better than it is so they will spend more money. I personally believe that the economy is still spiraling downward and will do so for quite some time to come. I think we should prepare ourselves for a depression and a long one at that.
• United States
24 Oct 08
I'm mostly with you, Newt. It's hard to see when exactly this will end, so it's better to prepare for worst case scenario -- even if the optimism turns out to be right. And the worst case scenario is a long depression...so we need to read up on all those "back to basics" old fashioned skillz it looks like. If only to save money.