What's a "Slight" Exaggeration of 900,000+ People?

@anniepa (27955)
United States
September 14, 2009 6:59pm CST
So, how big WAS the crowd in Washington D.C. on Saturday? I'm pretty sure I noticed a discussion or two here that claimed there were "millions" while others had said "tens of thousands". Apparently Matt Kibbe, president of FreedomWorks, had announced at the rally Saturday night that ABC News had estimated the crowd at between 1 and 1.5 million. However... "At no time did ABC News, or its affiliates, report a number anywhere near as large. ABCNews.com reported an approximate figure of 60,000 to 70,000 protesters, attributed to the Washington, D.C., fire department. In its reports, ABC News Radio described the crowd as "tens of thousands." http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/protest-crowd-size-estimate-falsely-attributed-abc-news/story?id=8558055 I realize a lot of people exaggerate "slightly" in these kinds of situations, but an exaggeration of nearly FIFTEEN TIMES the actual estimated figure? What was even the point of stretching the truth that far? Does anyone think it helps the movement's credibility? I just saw a clip of Saturday's crowd followed by a clip of the considerably larger crowd at the "Million Man March". I seem to recall the organizers of the latter took quite a bit of heat for "lying" about the size of that crowd. I'm not here to claim this event wasn't a success. If those of you who were involved in it believe it was a success then I guess it was. However, if you truly believe that WHY LIE ABOUT IT? Any thoughts? Is there anyone here who was there and if so, what is YOUR crowd estimation? Annie
2 people like this
15 responses
@xfahctor (14118)
• Lancaster, New Hampshire
15 Sep 09
Yeh, I thought over a million was a bit of a stretch myself. I guess the best way to figure this is get an idea of how many people the mall holds, plus some over spill and you'll have the rough number of people that were there. Now, question, was this just the DC rally he was talking about? Or was this the tally of the DC march plus the others held around the nation? The million man by park official's estimate, was about 400,000 but there are a few disputes. I looked at a number of pictures of the million man march, looked at a couple other gatherings images there too and compaired pics to the rally this past saturday. It looks to me like it could well be 150.000 max. When you get crowds that large with some sort of ticket proceedure, it is nearly impossivble to get acurate numbers. One thing is certain, the DC rally was frikkin enormous.
3 people like this
@anniepa (27955)
• United States
15 Sep 09
It was big, I'm not denying that. I also agree it's very difficult, if not impossible, to get truly accurate numbers. As far as I could tell they were talking about the total for D.C. alone, not the rest of the country. Annie
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16679)
• Boston, Massachusetts
15 Sep 09
Because it's so big, you could wonder at the possibility of people paying their own way (yes, they did) and traveling the vast distances to come from all different areas to converge on Washington. This Tea Party only ended in DC, it traveled across the nation holding rallies before this final event.
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@jb78000 (15139)
15 Sep 09
lets go with 'lots' then. the only thing i'm a bit suspicious about is because your country is so big it's possibly not going to be that hard to get an awful lot of people to protest about anything...
1 person likes this
@iriscot (1289)
• United States
15 Sep 09
These leaders who are trying to destroy Obam and the present administration are so used to telling false information and spreading lies they don't know the difference between a lie and the truth. Did you expect anything different annie? Let's see, 60 to 70 thousand people spent their money to attend the rally, that is a lot of money. I sure couldn't afford to go if I had wanted to. Evidently these people are doing okay financially and there were probably some wealthy ones promoting it.
@anniepa (27955)
• United States
15 Sep 09
That's an excellent point. I have a feeling the vast majority of those who are the most strongly opposed to health case reform are those who feel pretty certain they have nothing to worry about. They either have good health insurance, probably employer provided or are fairly well to do or both. I know there are some here who will tell me they don't fit either description but I said the majority, not everyone. I know the ones leading the charge against the reform are from the insurance lobby. They've done a pretty good job at making people afraid of what the government would do if they were "put in charge" of our health care but I'm much more frightened of them. Anyway, no matter what the exact size of the crowd in Washington was let's just say a large number of people, many from far away, made the trip to protest. It's highly unlikely many of them are unable to afford to go to the doctor if they get sick! Annie
@anniepa (27955)
• United States
16 Sep 09
Well written rants are always welcome in my discussions and yours wasn't actually "off-topic" since it sort of flowed from the original topic...you know what I mean...lol! I'm not an "enemy of the wealthy" but I do believe many (not all) of them really have no empathy for the rest of the people. I also know many of them worked very hard for what they've accomplished and I appreciate that and have no problem with anyone being rewarded for hard work. I believe in hard work and personal responsibility but I also believe some people need a bit of a safety net and that health care isn't something that should be available only to the wealthy and we're getting closer to that point all the time. To drift off-topic myself, I think it's often the poor, the elderly and the sick or disabled whose voices aren't heard because they're unable to attend rallies or protests. Annie
1 person likes this
• United States
15 Sep 09
Maybe I'm misreading you, Annie, but your response to iriscot sounds as though you're an enemy of the wealthy. The people I know who have attained wealth have done it through hard work and, in some cases, sacrifice. Even if those people who made the trip to Washington had the money to do it, that doesn't negate their reason, nor are they the only people who have strong feelings on tax issues. I'm not saying that you're necessarily of this mind, but it seems to me that so many people who are middle class or lower think the "wealthy" have no understanding of what it's like to be poor or to do without. I believe for many rich it's just the opposite. I think that many rich understand what it is to be poor and/or middle class because they came from that background but took the necessary steps to improve their situation. Also, many of those people who have risen above their circumstances know that the government has done nothing to help them and has in fact made leaving that situation very difficult. I honestly belief that the government war on poverty (I know your post is not about this subject) has done nothing but increase poverty and make those who are poor weak and dependent. This is a completely wrong attitude. How can we be a great nation if we're not independent thinkers or have the drive to achieve greatness? The government does not improve people's situations and that's why so many - rich, middle class, poor, Democrats and Republicans - are opposed to programs that will raise our taxes. They're tired of governments continuing intrusion into all aspects of our lives. Annie, if I have completely misread you, I apologize. I also apologize for ranting on when my rant is not your subject.
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@ParaTed2k (22940)
• Sheboygan, Wisconsin
15 Sep 09
http://michellemalkin.cachefly.net/michellemalkin.com/wp/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/live912.jpg I'll let you look at the crowd and make up your own mind.
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@ParaTed2k (22940)
• Sheboygan, Wisconsin
15 Sep 09
http://michellemalkin.com/2009/09/12/yes-the-picture-is-real-nutroots/
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@anniepa (27955)
• United States
15 Sep 09
I already saw the crowd and I wouldn't even begin t try to guess for myself how many were there. I've never claimed to be good at estimating crowd sizes. I must admit, I really can't stand Michelle Malkin and it's not because she's a conservative. When she talks she looks and sounds like she's a robot or in a trance. Annie
15 Sep 09
there was lots and lots
@irishidid (8687)
• United States
15 Sep 09
OMG,annie! a whole post and you didn't mention Palin! Okay, who are you and what did you do to annie?
2 people like this
@anniepa (27955)
• United States
15 Sep 09
Please tell me Palin didn't give her own crowd estimate! Annie
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@anniepa (27955)
• United States
16 Sep 09
Now, WHO would wanna be ME...lol? Annie
@irishidid (8687)
• United States
15 Sep 09
Not that I know of. You annie wannabe.
2 people like this
@spalladino (17891)
• United States
15 Sep 09
Freedomworks, which organized the event, has revised it's estimate of the size of the crowd downward to between 600,000 and 800,000 people. I read a scientific type analysis based on the amount of space a person takes up which estimated between 150,000 and 200,000. It's really hard to estimate crowd size after a certain point...unless you're the D.C. fire dept. or the Park Service, who do it regularly...and they're staying out of it for now as far as I can tell. There's always a big debate about this after a particularly large event and yes, in some ways it does effect credibility. Does it matter how many actually showed up? Not really. There were A LOT of people there...that's obvious...so why argue over numbers?
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@ParaTed2k (22940)
• Sheboygan, Wisconsin
15 Sep 09
They argue numbers because they think it somehow negates that fact that it happened. They would rather play childish numbers games than have real discussion about the issues.
@jb78000 (15139)
15 Sep 09
it always happens with protests - the protesters add on a 0 or two and those that don't like it take away a digit or two. i think everyone should stick with the simple method of counting that goes: one, two, many, lots and be done with it.
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@jb78000 (15139)
15 Sep 09
who's playing numbers ted? looks like everybody. i was (unsurprisingly) on the stop the war march several years ago and there were wildly conflicting estimates of how many were involved in each city. all were later shown to be completely out. like this one, yes it still happened and yes there were more than ten and yes there were less than a few billion. i think here (again) both sides are trying to measure the public's opinion by the turnout which will not work. anything wrong with opinion polls? or god forbid a referendum?
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@ZephyrSun (7381)
• United States
15 Sep 09
I wasn't there but, maybe it was all men estimating the crowd size? LOL You know how they sometimes have a hard time with sizes.
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@ParaTed2k (22940)
• Sheboygan, Wisconsin
15 Sep 09
lol
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@ZephyrSun (7381)
• United States
15 Sep 09
6 inches 8 inches what's the difference? LOL
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@jb78000 (15139)
15 Sep 09
10 inches? a foot? some seem to have their own idea of what an inch actually is.
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@bobmnu (8157)
• United States
15 Sep 09
Park police put the number at 750,000 and the University of IL puts the number at 1.5 million. Take your pick.
@bobmnu (8157)
• United States
22 Sep 09
Sorry it was the Fire Dept. A British paper (the Guardian I think) put the crowd at 2 million based on news photos from the Inauguration and other major events in Washington DC.
1 person likes this
@anniepa (27955)
• United States
15 Sep 09
Park Police stopped giving crowd estimates years ago. I think I'll believe the D.C. Fire Department who estimated between 60,000 and 70,000. http://www.examiner.com/x-5738-Political-Buzz-Examiner~y2009m9d14-Video--Fox-News-falsely-hypes-912-Tea-Party-Protest-crowd-estimate Annie
@Taskr36 (13963)
• United States
15 Sep 09
Annie, can you show me a link to where the fire department made the claim. Perhaps a more reputable source than the examiner.
• United States
15 Sep 09
Annie what else is new? This does not surprise me at all! I have come to expect nothing but exaggerations from BOTH parties in anything which makes their party look good. Nothing but a bunch of liars on both sides.
@Taskr36 (13963)
• United States
15 Sep 09
And sadly all Annie, or anyone else on the left seems to care about is who is right about the number of people. The message was completely ignored.
@Taskr36 (13963)
• United States
15 Sep 09
Annie, what makes you think that the numbers given by ABC are somehow more valid than the numbers given by any other organization? We're talking about a news organization that set up base in the White House. It's not as though you can pretend their an unbiased source of such information. Personally, I don't think anyone is lying. I think people are making assumptions based on what they would like the numbers to be. ABC would like their to be less people opposing the messiah while others would like their to be more. The truth is likely somewhere in the middle, but without a 100% dependable headcount, which doesn't exist to my knowledge, it's impossible to flat out say anyone is lying when the crowd was so big.
@anniepa (27955)
• United States
15 Sep 09
You should be asking why the spokesperson for FreedomWorks used ABC as a source for the crowd size and announced they'd reported something they hadn't. I agree it's difficult to know the exact number and I realize some would be likely to make it larger and others would be likely to make it smaller than it actually was but there's a much bigger difference between the two this time than usual. That's quite a big "margin for error". Annie
@Rollo1 (16679)
• Boston, Massachusetts
15 Sep 09
Actually, I heard on Fox that the Daily Mail estimated the crowd at 2 million while US news sources said "tens of thousands" but Fox said neither estimate was verifiable because DC police refused to make any crowd size estimate. So, I truly believe it was a success... and I didn't lie about it. Of course, the news media that refused to cover it committed a lie of omission. How do you feel about news media that refuse to cover an event of this magnitude? Doesn't really matter though, the Democrats say that it only looks like there's opposition to the health care bill because the ones who support it are being quiet and "minding their own business". I guess they don't think what the government does is any of our business.
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@Rollo1 (16679)
• Boston, Massachusetts
15 Sep 09
Note that I didn't quote it as a correct estimate, I stated that it was considered unverifiable. Even the estimate in the discussion is unverifiable because the DC police and the Park Service refused to give an estimate. Seems that when they've given estimates in the past, they've taken a lot of flak. The news source quoted in the discussion above, ABC, has today refused to cover an important vote in the Senate which cut off funding to an organization accused of fraud and criminal activity but which is closely affiliated with the president. It's a major news service, but if they don't report what happens in the US Senate, how reliable can they be?
@jb78000 (15139)
15 Sep 09
you didn't but i've seen the daily mail quoted all over the place recently. ok, there are press rules about making stuff up but the tabloids easily get round them. by what you've said your media sounds a bit dodgy - want to fill me in on the details?
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@jb78000 (15139)
15 Sep 09
erm, i'm not sure what the media is like in your country but i make it a general rule to not believe what tabloids say until i've checked it out. (the daily mail is a tabloid). i would like to know an awful lot more about what happened before reaching a conclusion.
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@hotsummer (13837)
• Philippines
15 Sep 09
no matter if they reach a million or just thousands , the crowd kinda give us a strong message to the world and makes us think that americans are generally not satisfied with Obama. i just don't know if that is really the case.
1 person likes this
@anniepa (27955)
• United States
16 Sep 09
In my opinion, whether there were "tens of thousands" or "millions" of people at that protest, they don't necessarily represent the entire nation or even a majority of the American people. President Obama still has a good approval rating among the majority of Americans and there were many who weren't "generally satisfied" with him from the beginning and many of them won't be satisfied as long as he's in office. That's not to discount those who disagree with his policies and views. I guess what I'm trying to say is generalizations can be quite misleading. Just because a relatively small percentage of the 300 million + people in the United States showed up to protest in D.C. or elsewhere doesn't mean they represent the entire country. By the same token, just because a small percentage of those protesters seem to be part of a "wacko fringe group" (for lack of a better description...lol!) doesn't mean THEY represent all of those who are dissatisfied with what's going on right now. I think most Americans fall somewhere in the middle, meaning we're happy about some things but not so happy about others. Annie
@bestboy19 (5478)
• United States
15 Sep 09
I wasn't there, I just heard what FOX said the estimate was, 70 or 75 thousand. I don't remember which. I don't understand your comments. "I'm not here to claim this event wasn't a success. If those of you who were involved in it believe it was a success then I guess it was. However, if you truly believe that WHY LIE ABOUT IT?"
@anniepa (27955)
• United States
16 Sep 09
I'm sorry if I didn't word that quite right. I was just trying to say IF someone intentionally exaggerated the numbers I honestly don't understand why they felt the need to do so. No matter how you slice it, it was a huge crowd. I get that this sort of thing always happens where the organizers and supporters of an even such as this one would be more likely to "round up" and the detractors to "round down". I was just struck by the big gap between the low and the high. To be as clear as I can, I'm NOT saying anyone here is lying about the numbers. I've already stated I'm terrible at judging crowd sizes so even if I'd have been there chances are if I'd have take a wild guess I'd have been off by a bunch. Annie
@bestboy19 (5478)
• United States
16 Sep 09
Thanks for the clarification. If I were there I wouldn't even try to count a large crowd like that. How can you count when you're among them? You're right, those who are for will give more and those against will give less.
1 person likes this
• United States
15 Sep 09
How big was the crowd? Well the depends on who you talk to. THe supporters will inflate the numbers...the decenters will deflate the numbers. I don't know if we will ever know the real number. A crowd that big is hard to count even for the event organizers. A million? Well looking at the pictures I don't think so. But I also think it was more than 70,000. I will say this it was wonderful to see them all there. I wish SOOOO BADLY I could have been there. But I did not the money to go. Or anyone to watch my kids for me to gone a couple of days. I don't take my kids to political rallies as a rule. They are too small to understand what is going on. THey would be bored. But oh how I wish I could have been there. But I did leave the kids with the grandparents for a couple of hours and go to a local one.
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@jb78000 (15139)
15 Sep 09
oh come on annie. all numbers over 10 are basically the same, as you well know.
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@anniepa (27955)
• United States
15 Sep 09
I know! Isn't it funny that math is one thing that's an "exact science" but it's still spun by both sides! Annie
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@jb78000 (15139)
15 Sep 09
oh and this always happens about protests whatever they are about - you get several sets of conflicting figures. not usually as ambitiously bumped up as these seem to be though.
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• United States
15 Sep 09
No matter how many were there it was enough for the new media to cover it, so I suppose they succeeded in at least part of their goal.