Which country / song do you think will win the Eurovision song contest in 2010?

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I believe that the Eurovision song contest will be held later this month, and that there will be over 35 countries from Europe participating. The contest will begin with two semi-finals, producing a total of 24 candidates for the final to be held at the end of the month. In the semi-final, I will be voting for Cyprus, but I don't think they will qualify this year as the song seems (to me at least) to be a little flatly-toned and lacking in substance. Indeed, Cyprus has failed to qualify for the last four years, though Evdokia in 2008 deserved qualification, but may have been outvoted by a block vote. As for the final, I will vote for the country I think produces the best song. I know this is a strange way of voting, but I want to see Cyprus at least qualify this year.