Crystal ball
By Robin Lamb
@troyburns (1405)
New Zealand
December 30, 2015 5:04am CST
With the new year looming, it's time for me to gaze into my crystal ball and reveal what 2016 may hold for us all. Please note: None of these predictions come with an ironclad guarantee. The spirits are notoriously fickle, don'tcha know.
The most important single word in the world will be "Islam". Whether we are taking about war in the Middle East, tides of refugees, or that obscure epithet, "terrorism", the question of Islam will be foremost on our lips. On everyone's lips, in fact, for this is a matter which is every bit as important to the Muslim world as it is to non-Muslims. There must be an accord on both the political and personal level. This is the defining cultural challenge of the century.
Meanwhile, war in the Middle East will not be ended and the flood of migrants, refugees, new neighbors, call them what you will, is set to continue. 60 million of these men,women and children does not seem too unreasonable a number.
Here's the big one: Expect a major attack somewhere in the world on May 16 next year. Why then? The spirits are reminding me that this date marks the 100th anniversary of the Sykes-Picot Agreement, that short-sighted treaty responsible for so many of our current woes. We don't know it yet, but ISIS has a sense of history as well as of destiny, hence the Paris atrocity coinciding with the date that the Ottoman Empire and its Caliphate fell.
The mists are clouding now, and I can't be sure about the next couple of predictions. But they seem to be revealing that we will all will care about Africa for the first time since our Empires played Risk with the world. Burundi, Gambia, Nigeria, the best hope for Christianity...the next 12 months will bring the Dark Continent into an overdue spotlight.
And finally, with the most controversial and important of US elections just 10 months away, the spirits are whispering a name to me. No, surely not. Okay then. Get ready for President Chris Christie.
10 people like this
8 responses
@BelleStarr (61102)
• United States
31 Dec 15
I am not sure which of the predictions is the scariest but I think it might be Chris Christie!! lol
2 people like this
@rebelann (112873)
• El Paso, Texas
11 Mar 20
I wonder whatever happened to Jeb Bush @BelleStarr ?
1 person likes this
@BelleStarr (61102)
• United States
31 Dec 15
@troyburns I am a bit of Bernie Sanders fan but he is a long shot and I honestly like Jeb Bush.
2 people like this
@troyburns (1405)
• New Zealand
31 Dec 15
@BelleStarr - You might be right about that, but I can't think of too many other Republican candidates who'd be preferable. Or Democrats, to be honest. Who's your tip for President? - other than Hilary C who seems like a shoe-in to at least be in the run-off.
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16679)
• Boston, Massachusetts
31 Dec 15
I could live with Christie, but it would take some serious machinations to get him the nomination. Problem with Christie is that his reputation is for plain-speaking that borders on rudeness, but Trump makes him look like a graduate from the Emily Post finishing school. ISIS doesn't call itself ISIS anymore, or even ISIL. They just call themselves IS, Islamic State, based on their mistaken notion of past unity. There have always been borders and countries and spheres of influence, so their goal of returning to a past unity is based on a misunderstanding of history. IS is attempting to wipe out Christianity wherever it is found, whether it is Africa or the Middle East. The world isn't going to get safer, I have read the end of the book.
2 people like this
@Rollo1 (16679)
• Boston, Massachusetts
1 Jan 16
@troyburns I don't know who it will be, but I can tell you who it is supposed to be - Jeb Bush. He's next n the order of succession, and I don't mean within the Bush family. This is the reason why Donald Trump may be the best thing that ever happened to the Republican party, because he is destroying their system of selecting nominees based on the "you've been patient, now it's your turn" system. All it gives them is old, establishment candidates who can't win. Donald Trump is more of a maverick than Christie. They wouldn't nominate either of them. They want the soft-spoken guy who won't be controversial, ignoring the fact that some of their biggest wins come when there is a marked delineation of political philosophies between the two ultimate candidates. People want to vote for people with strong opinions, not people who appear to have whichever opinion polls best.
1 person likes this
@troyburns (1405)
• New Zealand
1 Jan 16
@Rollo1 - I don't think there is any way the electorate could ever trust a Bush again. There has been money there to say he's the one, but the political landscape has shifted under the feet of candidates like him. Opinions now matter more than track records. Given the volatility of world and domestic affairs, a lot is likely to happen in the next few months - I wouldn't be surprised if someone like Christie has a surge as candidate numbers start to thin out and media exposure becomes more equitable.
@troyburns (1405)
• New Zealand
31 Dec 15
@Rollo1 - IS doesn't sound right to me, although as an acronym for Inhuman Savages it works well enough. You might be right about them wanting to destroy Christianity - which is why Africa will matter in the near future - but why stop there? They want to destroy anyone and anything that doesn't agree with their own warped notion of religion or history. Christie is still a long-shot, but I think the GOP is short of candidates who the money men can push toward the White House. Who do you see as the most likely Republican nomination?
1 person likes this
@troyburns (1405)
• New Zealand
30 Dec 15
@vandana7 - A tasty prediction! Fear IS the key - most of the things we'll worry about won't happen, while the real dangers will quietly sneak up on us.
2 people like this
@arthurchappell (44998)
• Preston, England
30 Dec 15
not unreasonable predictions - the ISIS crisis is sure to dominate of course
1 person likes this
@arthurchappell (44998)
• Preston, England
30 Dec 15
@troyburns drawing Israel in particular into the conflict would be extremely dangerous
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@troyburns (1405)
• New Zealand
30 Dec 15
@arthurchappell - ISIS will fail only if its ideology is destroyed, and airstrikes alone can't achieve that. I'm just hoping the conflict doesn't spread further - I'm a little concerned about Egypt and Israel, to be honest.
1 person likes this
@GreatMartin (23672)
• Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
31 Dec 15
I have different predictions starting with the USA will decide to have nothing more to do with the Middle East for at least 2 centuries!
Hillary Clinton will be voted president and choose Bill Clinton to be her running mate and upon her assignation he will become president again and the world will cheer.
I will grow up in 2016--maybe.
2 people like this
@troyburns (1405)
• New Zealand
31 Dec 15
@GreatMartin - I quite like your first two predictions but I don't think there's any chance of the last one happening!
@Morleyhunt (21744)
• Canada
30 Dec 15
I won't put dats on predictions, but we will experience all manner of weather. The news casts will still prefer to report bad news.
1 person likes this
@troyburns (1405)
• New Zealand
30 Dec 15
@Morleyhunt - I think, at heart, we like to think of ourselves as problem solvers and bad news gives us a chance to argue a point of view. Good news just makes us smile - it's too forgettable to matter.. The wacky weather will continue as well, but we won't take that seriously for another few years, I'm afraid.
1 person likes this
@seren3 (387)
• Los Angeles, California
31 Dec 15
@troyburns Indeed the earth was rattling all the way up the Pacific coast from California to Vancouver Canada yesterday. Deep floods in the interior...
@seren3 (387)
• Los Angeles, California
31 Dec 15
I agree ISIS or IS will be prominent, especially with local idiots defacing mosques and further irritating the general signal-to-noise factor. Africa...have you seen the film "Beast Of No Nation"? I am working up to it...I'm sure it will be tough to watch.
1 person likes this
@troyburns (1405)
• New Zealand
31 Dec 15
@seren3 - I'm hopelessly out of touch with the latest movies, so I don't know a lot about "Beasts". It does sound like the kind of film I'd find rewarding, though. I am worried about a rise in anti-Islamic sentiment in the West. Once it gets politicized - as it threatens to do - it won't just be local idiots who act shamefully.
@PainsOnSlate (21852)
• Canada
30 Dec 15
Predictions always scare me because they might be right. I usually avoid reading them for that reason, I like surprises and not cloudy skies hanging over my head. May 18th is my son's birthday. I hope the only news on that day is he is having a Happy Birthday. I know the world is screwed up and any news from the middle East will be scary, right now I am enjoying the news of the thousands of refugees arriving daily to Canada. 'Terrorphobia' will be around for a long time but hopefully not in Canada.
Canada's welcoming reception of the first planeloads of Syrian refugees has prompted an overwhelmingly positive response in the Arab media, with one Jordanian website going so far as to call Prime Minister Justin Trudeau "Superman."
1 person likes this
@troyburns (1405)
• New Zealand
30 Dec 15
@PainsOnSlate - The fear of an attack may end up being more destructive than an actual attack - if we let ourselves become cruel too. My crystal ball is notorious for its wild guesses, so I wouldn't worry too much about that dire May prediction.
1 person likes this