Trump's Winning Key Swing States
By Jim Bauer
@porwest (92462)
United States
November 10, 2023 3:57pm CST
Evidence of the tides turning, and the ultimate backfire may be beginning to show. You see, the democrats enjoyed some victories in the most recent election cycle, and while the left is rejoicing, they forget one thing.
Americans rarely want a concentration of power.
I mean, it happens. We've had majorities that match the White House in the past and even super-majorities. But mostly Americans prefer some contrast between who controls the legislative branch and who controls the executive one.
Granted, there's been no change of power. But one can still see the messaging.
This string of democrat victories may spell something here. Donald Trump. In other words, voters are setting the country up for a Trump victory. Not a Biden one.
And while I am not one to often trust polling, the polling has become quite close in that it seems that the polls are all stacking in favor of Trump. And bigly so. In the latest rounds of polling in at least 8 out of 10 of them Trump is either beating Biden or tied with him.
So, here are the results. In two polls Biden is beating Trump. In six polls Trump is beating Biden. And in two polls they are tied.
One of the bigger tells is where the wins for Trump are coming from, and that's the swing states. They are turning for Trump. Now granted, we have a long way to go, and who knows what the end result will be.
But one thing I suspect strongly is that it's finally kicking in. The big backfire. The democrats bit too hard into Trump and they're going so hard at him that the American people are probably prone to wonder why.
I am not going to claim a Trump victory just yet. But I sense it may be coming. And according to most of the polls? It also seems to be no contest and could be entering landslide territory.
But we'll just to wait and see.
All I can say to the democrats is that any victory dance you may be enjoying now might well be short lived. Enjoy it while you can. The host of the next big party may not be who you are expecting. On top of that? This big can of worms you opened up on Trump might turn out to be your worms.
11 people like this
12 responses
@porwest (92462)
• United States
10 Nov 23
Did you read my post? I said I don't trust polls either. I mean, Hillary Clinton was going to beat Trump in a landslide and she didn't even come close.
At the same time, the polls showed a different kind of victory for Clinton too. So, these polls seem a little bit different this time around. But we will have to wait and see. Still way too early to make any calls. I am not doing a victory dance here either.
1 person likes this
@porwest (92462)
• United States
11 Nov 23
@NJChicaa The popular vote has never mattered. Moot point. And Trump "technically" won the popular vote because the electoral votes are based on the popular vote in each state. The reason we have the electoral college is so that the rest of the country has a voice. Not just California, Texas, Florida and New York.
1 person likes this
@lovebuglena (44717)
• Staten Island, New York
10 Nov 23
Polls don’t mean anything. But Trump is on his way up, even with all the drama with the indictments, etc. and without doing the debates. Heck, he does rallies when debates happen. Smart, isn’t it? He will surely be the top candidate for the Republican Party. I just hope we won’t get a repeat of what happened in 2020.
1 person likes this
@lovebuglena (44717)
• Staten Island, New York
17 Nov 23
@porwest I don't think anyone will overtake him either. It's mind boggling how many don't want him as president. Like they want anyone but him. I say anyone but Biden.
1 person likes this
@porwest (92462)
• United States
18 Nov 23
@lovebuglena I think the idea that many people don't want him is false. Even in 2016 he received nearly 50% of the vote. He's way more popular than many will give him credit for, and I think 2024 is looking very good for him to win. Just my two cents.
@porwest (92462)
• United States
15 Nov 23
There is one thought I have about 2024 and it is that the democrat party cannot steal an election twice. EVEN IF we are to believe Biden actually won, the American people know Biden's policies have failed. It's why his approval ratings are in the tank and badly.
I think Trump will be the 47th president and all the signs seem to be pointing in that direction. As for him not being the nominee, it seems impossible anyone would come close to catching up. Trump has 52% of support in the GOP and his closest competitor, Ron DeSantis only has 14%. It's just not going to happen that anyone overtakes him.
1 person likes this
@marguicha (223720)
• Chile
10 Nov 23
I don´t trust polls at all. In my country we have been getting addicted to political polls lately. And at the end, what really counts is how the people vote.
1 person likes this
@marguicha (223720)
• Chile
11 Nov 23
@porwest It is hard for me to understand your politics with just 2 parties. We have several.
1 person likes this
@porwest (92462)
• United States
11 Nov 23
@marguicha We have several as well technically. But only two really matter.
@porwest (92462)
• United States
10 Nov 23
Neither do I as I alluded to a bit in this post. They had Hillary beating Trump in a landslide in 2016 and of course we know that didn't even come close. Nonetheless, it's the number of polls pointing in this direction and the nature of where the numbers are coming from, which are key swing states, which stacks the polls a bit closer to being POSSIBLY truer than not.
But like I said to @NJChicaa. Way too early to make any calls and I am doing any victory dances myself either. We're going to have to wait and see.
There is one OTHER THING that is interesting here, and that is that MOST of the time polls are heavily weighted toward democrats. It has always been that way. So, when the polls show a republican victory, you pay attention more, because they are showing the victory DESPITE the heavy weighting favoring democrats.
If the weighting still shows a republican lead. That's a little bit more of a tell than when it shows a democrat lead.
2 people like this
@RebeccasFarm (90294)
• Arvada, Colorado
11 Nov 23
Go Trump! I loved him in Home Alone
1 person likes this
@RebeccasFarm (90294)
• Arvada, Colorado
15 Nov 23
@porwest He may also have been Home Alone in the White House
1 person likes this
@porwest (92462)
• United States
16 Nov 23
@RebeccasFarm One never knows. He had some cabinet issues for sure. lol
1 person likes this
@xander6464 (44390)
• Wapello, Iowa
14 Nov 23
You still have Voter Suppression and Gerrymandering on your side, so it is possible Trump could win.
But, for that to work, Trump has to overcome the "Man Who Killed Roe" taint. It's enough of a force to get people in so many areas to vote that the tiny victories in a few key states that mattered before won't matter anymore.
Anti-Abortion has lost in Kansas, Montana, Kentucky, Ohio and Virginia and the GOP is running the poster child for Anti-Abortion.
On top of that, he's very likely to be a convicted felon before the voting starts.
1 person likes this
@xander6464 (44390)
• Wapello, Iowa
14 Nov 23
@porwest Sorry. Until Trump is safely defeated and sitting in jail, you do not get a break. And probably not even then.
And I forgot, Trump is quoting Hitler more than he ever did before. He still might win but it's getting more unlikely every day. And if he does win, it will do even more damage to him...Well, it would if he had anything left to lose at that point.
1 person likes this
@porwest (92462)
• United States
15 Nov 23
@xander6464 Where are you getting the "more unlikely every day" bit from? From your box of fantasies? Polling shows Trump beating Biden handsomely. Other polls show 72% disapprove of Biden's job performance overall, and another poll shows 74% do not believe Biden has the stamina or the energy to be president.
It is part of the reason Trump leads everywhere. Regardless of what many may think of Trump, the fact is most Americans KNOW he is being unfairly persecuted, MANY have serious questions about 2020, and MOST Americans know Biden's policies aren't working.
Biden had his chance to "prove himself" to be the better idea. He blew it. And now that the choice will be the same in 2024 as it was in 2020, Americans are owning up to the thought that they may have gotten it all wrong in 2020 (again, if we can trust the results were legit).
Beyond that, Kamala Harris was a disastrous pick to be the person one heartbeat away from the Oval Office. No one likes her, and her approval ratings are worse than Congress. So, when you also factor in that most Americans do not believe Biden will be alive before the end of his second term, they also know that who they are ultimately casting a vote for is Harris. And no one believes she should ever be president.
So, it's just one more strike against Biden. He's got a lot of people on his own side who don't believe he should be president either, which is why the list of challengers on his side continues to grow as well. You could point to the speaker debacles and say, "The republicans don't know who their leader is," but you could say the same thing about the democrat party itself, which is largely divided about the current, sitting president.
@Deepizzaguy (104007)
• Lake Charles, Louisiana
10 Nov 23
You are right since what does not destroy someone will only make them stronger.
1 person likes this
@Deepizzaguy (104007)
• Lake Charles, Louisiana
11 Nov 23
@porwest You are right since according to the vloggers on You Tube, they are saying that people are angry at President Biden for his mishandling the economy.
1 person likes this
@porwest (92462)
• United States
11 Nov 23
@Deepizzaguy The economy is usually a pretty big deal when it comes to elections. We'll see if it matters this time around. Either way, on almost all policy matters, Biden's approval numbers are in the tank.
1 person likes this
@porwest (92462)
• United States
10 Nov 23
Boy, I will tell you one thing, the MORE the democrats try to destroy Trump the bigger and stronger he gets. He got 10 million more votes in 2020 than he got in 2016, and I think he might be able to get 10 million more in 2024 than he got in 2020.
Still way too early to tell or even to make a call. But he's definitely getting more support, it would seem, the more they (the democrats) go after him.
It would be one thing if they were going after Trump and succeeding in running the country. But they are going after him while running the country into the ground. The American people are paying attention, and regardless of anything else, I think the American people will decide they can't give another four years to Biden, because despite any feelings about Trump, Biden hasn't earned it, and no matter how they (the democrats and the media) try to spin it, the AMERICAN PEOPLE know things were better when Trump was president.
1 person likes this
@RasmaSandra (80659)
• Daytona Beach, Florida
10 Nov 23
Polls have always seemed to me like a bunch of people believing what is told them and forming a conga line one behind the other,
1 person likes this
@porwest (92462)
• United States
11 Nov 23
They are not all that reliable, that's for sure. Many times they are very wrong. There's also something they use, known as "weighting" which often favors the polls toward democrats, and helps to make them less accurate. Some are more reliable than others due to the way in which they conduct the polls.
What's interesting in these polls is that Trump is winning in them, and that's a HUGE tell since many Trump supporters are less likely to be open about their support of him. If the polls are showing Trump winning, it's likely he's not only really winning, but winning by massively higher numbers than the polls currently allude to.
If the polls were a measure, Trump will win in a landslide victory in 2024.
1 person likes this
@everwonderwhy (7365)
•
10 Nov 23
3 years of, "you reap what you sow".
But to the good ones, we patiently wait... and put our trust in the One Who created and runs the universe.
Things are coming to light and will get better to great. 
@LindaOHio (181348)
• United States
11 Nov 23
@porwest I always said you were full of hot air. JUST KIDDING! 
1 person likes this
@dgobucks226 (35721)
•
11 Nov 23
What I find most interesting recently is the number of left-leaning personalities announcing Third Party Presidential bids. Cornell West, Robert Kennedy Jr., and now "drum roll" please, the return of Jill Stein, Green Party candidate.
Since President Trump has a solid base of support (who would vote for him even if he is in a jail cell), Biden's base seems to be splintering. Can anyone say Ralph Nadar. 
This certainly helps Trump in the swing states.
This certainly helps Trump in the swing states.
@casianjv (20)
• Tacloban City, Philippines
11 Nov 23
Swing states are ones where either contender has a chance to win in the US presidential election. These states, sometimes referred to as "battleground states," are where presidential contenders concentrate their efforts and financial resources during the campaign. Their opposites are referred to be "safe states," wherein pre-election opinion polls predict that a given party's nominee will almost certainly win. Therefore, during the election campaign, safe states are not given priority when it comes to time and money allocation.
