Will America Attack Iran?

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I hope every body has come across this hot issue and would have his/her own views. i see it as follows... Though American President has openly said that military option is not "off the table" as is concurred by Tony Blair as well as drumming up of war beats as is deduced by many of american statesmen's and women's statements, and declaring cosiderable loss of its troops in Iraq as a second trigger (which makes it easy for America to make up a case for war) yet military card, albeit not so perilous for America as it is for Iran, is not the best option for America either. had it been used some years back, it would have been more easy, forthcoming and conclusive for America. With saddam's Iraq on west and Taliban's Afghanistan on east and much less developed Iran, America would have found a much easier target. The regional changes that has occured since America turned against Taliban after initially supporting it has step by step moved to the favor of Iran. It has been a common secret that whatever or whoever was used by America turned out not to be so fruitful as it would have been expected by American think tanks and policymakers. American frustration over Iran is not an overnight affair. Very briefly saying, American political defeat in uprising of Iranian people and revolution, American hostage crisis for which all American efforts including the commando Action failed one after the other., America's failure in destroying Iranian system through imosed Iran Iraq war (though they provided chemical and biological weapons and Ronald reagan even said that," America could not afford to allow Iraq to loose the war to Iran")Expulsion of America from Lebanon, Failure to use taliban against Iran by imposing another war on Iran. Economic failures with regards to Central Asian reserves. Failure to overthrow the system from within. Continuous failure to come out of Iraq as victors. Failure in restricting much the Iranian military advances despite continuous and ever growing sanctions. Political failures in the region administered by Iran. These are the few examples of what caused increased tensions and frustration of America against Iran. To analyze the issue we need to see military as well as political, not to mention the economic position of America. Its strengths and weaknesses. The most reliable American Strength is its Aircraft carriers, Which are very hard to hit and are far less vulnerable to attack than the ground targets. Firstly it is hard to locate a carrier in open ocean, then even if located it is still harder to keep track of it (which is needed for a successful strike against carrier, even America doesn't have this capability as such), now even if tracked, it has sophisticated engaging equipment against any attack. Shortly speaking its almost imossible for Iran to effectively strike an American Aircraft Carrier. The last Carrier was probably sunk in 1945 by enemy. On ground, it has surrounded Iran from all sides. America has it's central command in Qatar, military bases and facilities in Saudi Arabia in west, Turkey in northwest and military presence in Iraq in the west, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia in the southwest and Afghanistan in the east. This very American presence while being a strength for America is also Iranian deterrence, in the event of defence and counter offence. What i believe is,Iran, being unable to strike effectively against American Aircraft Carriers will test its muscles in Iraq against American Forces who do not have military infrastructure to effectively defend Iranian strike (but Iranians have limits in doing so). other possible targets could be central command in Qatar, as well as American forces in neighboring countries like Afghanistan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and UAE, if they provided bases to America which is quite possible. This will be immediate counter offence. America will surely come out to be a winner in nitial phase but what would follow is not clearly known, because Iranian supreme leader has warned that America could not get away with offence without a counter offence against its interests all over the world. To date, more than 10,000 Iranians have registered themselves to serve as suicide attackers against American interests whenever needed. On the other side Iran has acquired 27 Tor-M1 missiles (anti Aircraft), as well as anti-ship torpedo missiles and cruise missiles, which are less compared to American might but still surve as deterrence. Politically it is yet more difficult for America than militarily. Bush and Blair and some other leaders have already suffered a lot politically because of the war in Iraq. Americans and other world know their manipulation of intelligence data and don't trust them as they trusted before. Democrats are now in majority who will not allow to go for another devastating war against american interests secially when public is against and they still have to win 2008 Presidentail elections. Though as per constitution American President has the right to act first and then take approval from congress in case immediate action is required but still it's a tough nut to crack. Blair is out (going in september and already has called for troops withdrawal as opposed to American plan to enhance the troop level). But having said all that, i am not downplaying the possibility of a war, its there but far less probable than it is normally seen