IPCC falsified data?
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
United States
December 5, 2007 4:29pm CST
For publically taking the position that sea levels are likely to rise at the most only 1 to 2 inches over the next 100 years (not a guess, but based on my own time series extrapolation algorithm and real sea level measurements) I have been accused of being both incompetent and in the pay of those horrible demons who want to destroy the earth with carbon emissions.
Of course, those were not the exact words, but that was the clear implication.
Anyone interested in the future sea levels around the world might want to click this link.
http://my.telegraph.co.uk/reasonmclucus/december_2007/ipcc_falsifies_sea_level_data.htm
Do you think it is possible the IPCC "fudged" their data?
4 people like this
8 responses
@Eskimo (2315)
•
31 Mar 08
As someone who has studied Oceanography and ecology it puzzles me why so many scientists are ignoring real scientific data and coming out with so many different theories about global warming, sea level rising and Climate Change, I wonder if it is something to do with the fact that very few scientists are independent these days, most are in the pay of governments or big business and have to amend their data accordingly?
While sea level rise may happen, Arctic Ice melting (because is is oceanic ice) will have little or no effect on sea level at all. Antarctic ice melting (land based) will have some effect.
Because of the chemical and physical properties, it is unlikely that Carbon Dioxide will have much effect on Climate Change (heavier than air, soluble in water (more solubal in warm than cold water), etc.
3 people like this
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
31 Mar 08
Thank you so much for your reasonableness. I have been castigated as a stooge for industry by some people for stating my opinion on this. Additionally, my star rating has been sabotaged by passive aggressive cowards. All for pointing out facts. Having knowledgeable persons persons such as yourself and the others who have participated in this thread is very refreashing. Thanks, again to all.
3 people like this
@Eskimo (2315)
•
2 Apr 08
What I would like to see is a proper scientific study by INDEPENDENT scientists who are not paid by governments or business into the whole global warming/ greenhouse gas issue, with the full scientific data published as well, and a proper full scale debate about the findings afterwards, so that the real truth (either way) can be found once and for all.
There was a study done in an Irish Monastary which started (I think around 1850)and still continuing, into the effects of sun spots and solar flares, and how the weather was affected by this, unfortunately I didn't take a note of the references to this, but my understanding is that there was a direct correlation between sunspots, solar flares and how sunny the day was.
1 person likes this
@James72 (26790)
• Australia
12 Dec 07
It is not just possible but more than likely probable! Yeah sure people can take historical data and use it to make predictions; and your personal scientific interest to the point of making your own logical conclusions is commendable. The problem in my opinion though is that the Earth's evolution, progression or adaptation as a direct result of both natural and unnatural causes is ENTIRELY unpredictable in my opinion! The only way mankind can better their chances of "rolling with the punches" is to become far more aware of their own contributions to cause and effect through industry and development etc and act accordingly. The rest will occur by default whether we like it or not! Sustainable development should be the mantra globally and we should all just strap ourselves in and hope to God that we are still all here 1000 years from now. We are ultimately at the mercy of natural evolution.....
2 people like this
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
12 Dec 07
"The problem in my opinion though is that the Earth's evolution, progression or adaptation as a direct result of both natural and unnatural causes is ENTIRELY unpredictable in my opinion! The only way mankind can better their chances of "rolling with the punches" is to become far more aware of their own contributions."
Not ENTIRELY unpredictable at all. The rate of change of parameters like sea levels and mean earth temperature change in reality are at such slow rates that coarse pragmatic predictions are completely feasible.
As to knowing our contribution to the problem, we do know quite a bit as to our contribution. The last time I saw figures on it, only about 2% of the CO2 in the atmosphere is man-made. The amount of CO2 dissolved in the oceans waiting to be released as the ongoing natural warming cycle continues dwarfs that which man could or has contributed to the atmosphere. (Don't forget, the ice age ended only 10,000 years ago and its a 100,000 year cycle.)
All that said, you are quite correct that the will of God and happenstance have much more to do with how much longer man survives than any other single factor.
4 people like this
@gkrisiyer (393)
• India
21 Dec 07
It does'nt matter if IPCC falsified their data or not.The fact remains that sea levels are on the rise and this is leading to catastrophic effects on megacities that are built on coastlines that had sea levels about a few inches lower than what they are now a hundred odd years ago.We are being selfish here.We need to address the issue that there will be no coastal cities for our future generations or there will be no future generations of human kind if we keep polluting at this rate.
2 people like this
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
21 Dec 07
gkrisiyer,
You have been hugely deceived by masterful liars. Practically everything you alledge is demonstrably false or of very low probability of being correct.
The one thing you have right is that we must reduce pollution. However, at least in the USA, we have already reduced our pollution levels and continue to do so. Air and water pollution here is not near as bad as it was in the 1970's. Things continue to get better.
I believe the rest of the world will do what needs to be done, too.
2 people like this
@theprogamer (10534)
• United States
12 Dec 07
Guh...! /facepalm...
There is a good deal of data saying its only going to be 1 to 2 inches. There was also an article about a major iceshelf core dig in Greenland. The ancient DNA of the critters (thousands of years) in the core had indication of the times being warmer by a few degrees. Oh and the ice didn't melt... Eh? Go figure.
2 people like this
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
12 Dec 07
Yes, when one does an analysis of the actual data as opposed to listening Al Gore bloviate, 1 to 2 inches is reasonable and based on real science.
1 person likes this
@AD11RGUY (1265)
• United States
12 Dec 07
AAARRGHHH!! I can't find the article that listed the name of the guy who was the "chief" scientist that fudged the numbers. But I did read about 3 weeks ago about him. As I remember, he worked for NASA. Back in the '70s, he fudged data to support his claim for the coming "mini ice age". It is the same scientist who now claims that there is global warming. But I did find this link that shows flaws with Gore's movie.
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/monckton/goreerrors.html
If I remember correctly, it mentions the report about the sea level rise. Just goes to show how unreliable reliable sources can be.
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
12 Dec 07
I went to the provided link concerning errors in Al Gore's movie. It is the best I've ever seen.
I've criticized Gore's movie on the basis of its scientific logical reasoning methodology which is completely invalid and deceitful without knowing the extent of the climatology details about which Gore must have knowingly lied.
Anyone who still believes lying Al should check out your link.
2 people like this
@wherethegoodgo (16)
• Canada
6 Apr 08
In our finite world "Global Warming" is not our most pressing problem. Our most pressing problem is the finiteness of our energy supply or it could be the infiniteness of our economy. I guess it depends on how you look at as to which is the problem finite energy or infinite economy.
Our economic system is infinite so we need an infinite supply of energy to make our economy sustainable. Anybody know were we can find an infinite energy supply?
I know people don't like thinking in real terms when it comes to our economic and energy systems because the reality of unattainability built into these systems are too hard for us to handle. It is, however, easy to understand once you think about infinite growth not being possible using a finite energy supply to fuel our infinite economy.
Many avoid thinking about it while others deny the reality of our finite energy source. No matter how you try to avoid this tidbit of information you will not be able to hide from this reality as energy shortages manifest themselves as a series of recessions and depressions. $100 a barrel oil is just the start and many who said we will never see $100 a barrel of oil are now saying we will never see $150 a barrel of oil.
The deniers simply raise the highest price possible we can pay for energy instead of facing the reality and limitations that exist in our current energy supply and the fact that it can and will be depleted by our infinite economy. When you hear people saying this is just another economic cycle and the price of oil has nothing to do with, you know they are denying the differences in this upcoming economic slowdown and other in the past. In the past the economic slowdown relieved the pressure on oil supplies lowering the price of oil. Does anybody see that happening with this economic cycle?
So you see it matters not whether "Global Warming" is real as there are many other factor we know are real that will destroy our way of life. "Global Warming" if true, will be the cherry on top of our economic and societal demise. It is just too bad we have all failed to leave a better world for our lineage instead of the trial of energy shortages, financial collapse, and (if "Global Warming" pans out as claimed) unstable weather such that it will be hard to grow food to feed the 6 billion plus people currently living on this planet.
1 person likes this
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
6 Apr 08
I see you have done your homework and thought things thru fairly well. I agree there are bigger problems than global warming. I also agree there may come a time when an interaction of climate change and our poor social systems could result in several billion human deaths. Certain things are there for anyone to see if they read the handwriting on the wall.
@Eskimo (2315)
•
6 Apr 08
This may be slightly off topic, but possibly relevant.
In 2007, the U.K. had the worst flooding during summer for many years, the cause was listed as being because the 'Jet Stream' had moved direction so that the rain fell on the U.K. instead of somewhere else. I just wondered if there could be any connection between the jet stream moving and the number of wind farms which have now sprung up? It would be interesting to know if there has been any large scale Published scientific experiments on this.
There have been windmills in the U.K. for several hundred years, but not on a large scale, we now have 169 operational wind farms with 1966 turbines, there are also 140 Off Shore Turbines (presumably not included in the above), with many more under construction or approved.
see http://www.bwea.com/ukwed/index.asp
The weather including Jet stream, and also currents are always in a state of flux, and it probably wouldn't take much change to move the jet stream. You must also remember some of the phyics laws, 'Matter cannot be created or destroyed' and 'For every action there is an equal but opposite reaction'.
Could this mad rush for 'Renewable' energy (ie wind & waves) cause much more harm to the environment than anyone has ever thought of?
1 person likes this
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
6 Apr 08
If we wanted to take the time, (I don't think I do), we could estimate the mass of the atmosphere and the kinetic energy contained therein for a global average wind speed. Then, looking up some of the effects of wind speed on the ecology of the earth and other interactions that might be affected, we could figure out how many watts of generating power it would take to slow the wind of the earth.
One thing of which I'm sure is that we could put up 100 times the wind mills we have now without too much trouble as to extracting too much energy from the wind.
@Eskimo (2315)
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5 Apr 08
Nigel Lawson (ex U.K. government minister) published an article in today's 'Daily Mail' arguing against some parts of global warming http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/newscomment.html?in_article_id=557372&in_page_id=1787
This is very brave of someone of his stature to come out against established government policy, but also shows that there are still some people of influence who will not just roll over and accept everything that is said about global warming.
1 person likes this
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
5 Apr 08
Yes, the scientific community is surprisingly biased and prejudiced against its own members who 'march to the beat of a different drummer'.
More and more objective scientists are coming forward. Mostly this is because they were waiting for enough evidence to strongly make their case.
I predict that in 10 years you won't be able to find people willing to admit that they were advocates of man made global warming.
1 person likes this