global strife
middle east security
middle east situation
threat to middle east stability
unilateral talks on middle east
Iran ... A genuine threat that only America can challenge?
By nuffsed
@nuffsed (1271)
January 26, 2007 5:51am CST
Is Iran the threat to middle East security that President Bush says it is?
Does Iran really deserve to be called part of an axis of evil?
Personally I am not for demonising anyone as a race. It seems every country has a moderate and an aggressive element.
Are we really on the verge of catastrophe?
Should America be seeking concensus for action?
3 people like this
18 responses
@Stiletto (4579)
•
31 Jan 07
Who knows if Iran is such a threat - they may well be. Their nuclear ambitions are certainly a legitimate cause for concern. However, the last person I would listen to on the subject of Middle East security would be President Bush (well he'd be equal last with Tony Blair).
I just don't know where the US administration think they are going with this - what's next? Are they just going to blunder their way through the entire Middle East? Obviously that excludes Israel who are able to conduct their human rights violations, acts of aggression, flouting of UN Resolutions and their nuclear programme without fear of rebuke or reprisal from the US.
If President Bush is seriously planning to take action against Iran surely even he realises this time there must be consensus?
3 people like this
@pacodecabra (160)
• United States
2 Feb 07
I would hope Bush realizes the need for consensus, but I wouldn't count on it. He pretty much does whatever he wants, but thankfully only for 23 more months.
1 person likes this
@rhinoboy (2129)
•
26 Jan 07
Iran may be messing around with nuclear weapons, and the media tell us that their leadership is not stable. This makes the country a serious nuclear threat.
Bush (and the real powers BEHIND him) should be very cautious in dealing with the situation though. Religion always becomes involved and the more muslim countries they turn against the west, the greater any threat becomes.
Let's just say i don't think things look good!
2 people like this
@vinod_sailes (214)
• India
27 Jan 07
The entire world has a catastrophic volcano under it. Some of the countries like Iran, North Korea et all have left the conglomerate of a united voice and have gone for independant decisions and actions. Everything has got messed up on account of the defiance shown by Iraq under late SH. In this should be included even some of the closely knitted web of Muslim countries that have even helped Taliban seek sanctuary within their territories. This is not to blame any particular country, but terrorism would have ended on the very day US and the allies overran Afghanistan. But instead of speaking with one voice, some countries decided to sit on the fence or extract better leverage from US, in the process Laden and his cohorts were lost in the wind. Things went even further with Saddam Hussain playing his tricks on UN inspectors, giving Iran enough time and opportunity to climb the ladder of nuclear hostility. And today, Iran is standing tall among some of the Muslim countries trying to asset itself over the super powers. Everyone even China and Russia who always maintained a cold shoulder attitude with US should be blamed, otherwise the problem of terrorism would not have raised its head this high. And the sufferers are the world and its occupants. Will there be a world war and if so, who will side with whom, is left for everyone's reckoning as of now.
2 people like this
@beautifulceiling (1300)
• United States
2 Feb 07
I honestly am at a loss as to how anyone could, at this point, accept anything the Bush administration says at face value.
As far as nuclear weapons go, until we disarm every country in the world, including ourselves, we have no business telling anyone else they can't have them.
2 people like this
@Netsbridge (3253)
• United States
2 Feb 07
Nice to run into another honest human being! Beautifulceiling, you are right; it will have to be one standard for every nation, or none whatsoever!
3 people like this
@urbandekay (18278)
•
30 Jan 07
1. When Iraq had a nuclear program, Israel launched a pre-emptive strike, destroying their capability.
2. Israel is known to have nuclear capability and yet has never used it.
3. Iran's president has publicly declared his intention to wipe Israel from the face of the earth.
4.Israel is a small but militarily very proficient country surrounded by potential aggressors.
5. Historically Arabs have been the aggressors, before Israel had any militia Arabs launched unprovoked attacks on it.
6. It has been reported that Israeli intelligence believe Iran could have nuclear capability later this year. (Although this date is perhaps a little early)
Now, you, like me, may abhor violence but what exactly do you expect Israel to do? Sit there and wait to be nuked? In fact, if Iran did launch a nuclear strike on Israel, Israel would almost certainly retaliate. Let us suppose that Pakistan doesn't join the war since their neighbour India is also nuclear capable. Several Arab countries have been suspected of having nuclear weapons, notably Saudi-Arabia. So, Israel may feel that their retaliation should also include pre-emptive strikes. No doubt the Israeli's have been planning for such scenarios for a long time.
Whatever way it pans out all hell will break loose.
Sorry I know I've concentrated more on Israel than US but my answer does, I feel, give good reasons why some kind of action re Iran is important.
all the best urban
1 person likes this
@nuffsed (1271)
•
30 Jan 07
Is it a realistic scenario to contemplate a nuclear attack on Israel?
Any such attack would provoke an immediate nuclear response. Israel has the power to destroy any aggressor in the region. This Mutually Assured Destruction, has kept the peace in many apparent scenarios of doom in the past.
Oh Israel will talk up the threat, as she always has, citing the endless suffering and persecution of the Jews, but she speaks from a position of great strength, resolve and with the support of The USA.
If Israel were to secure it's borders so that insurgents had a tougher time penetrating into Israeli territory, then such incidents would diminish in relevance. These incidence are usually notable in their use of comparitively primitive weapons, but overstated outrage on behalf of the Israelis. The response seen in relation to the destruction of Souty Lebanon, including the deliberate seeding of masses of cluster bombs during the final days before the latest ceasefire, is an example of this.
The virtual imprisonment of the Palestinian state is also another act of undue Israeli aggravation, rather than take steps to secure it's own borders and negotiate a peace. the current wall building, can only be seen as a symbol of hate in a region that really should be building desalination plants. Millions will die from lack of water, if current predictions come to fruition. Palestine looks to have an extremely grim future.
It is often said, where there is a will, there is a way. But the incessant sales of arms into the area, notably by the USA, give creedence to allegations that the American agenda is not a peace of independent nations, rather a peace based upon domination of impoverished dependents.
War is not inevitable, rather, for some it is preferable. It is not helpful that religious elements can point to predictions of Armaggedon, and are happy to bring it on.
The Corporations (who increasingly run the show) will be happy to make consumers out of the survivors.
1 person likes this
@urbandekay (18278)
•
31 Jan 07
Nuffsed, well with a clearly unstable leader in Iran anything is possible. More to the point, do the Israelis believe a nuclear attack is likely? I would imagine that they must have believed it was when they pre-emptively struck Iraqs nuclear programme.
Remember the outcry at Israels attempts to secure its borders?
all the best urban
1 person likes this
@pacodecabra (160)
• United States
31 Jan 07
Let me answer your last question first. Yes, we should be seeking consensus. We had it with regard to Afghanistan, including the support of much of the Muslim world, because it was a legitimate action. Sadly, Bush did a half-assed job there and left the country as bad or worse off than it was before we ousted the Taliban so he could invade Iraq, which had no consensus.
Iran definitely wants to be the major player in the region, but does that make it a threat? Hard to say. We could certainly help our cause greatly by taking a more fair approach to the Israel-Palestine issue. It's hard to expect any trust to be built between the US and the countries of the Middle East when we so blatantly favor Israel in this conflict.
And Bush should take a lesson in what happens when you demonize a country's leader from what happened when Hugo Chavez called him the devil. Even the Democrats rallied to Bush's defense, because we don't like an outsider bashing our President, whether we like him or not. Apparently the Iranians feel the same way.
@Lydia1901 (16351)
• United States
3 Feb 07
I personally do not know if Iraq is a threat or not. All I know is what Bush is feeding us. I think we could be on a verge of catastrophe. I think America should only seek actions when it is necessary to do so.
@visitorinvasion (7709)
• United States
26 Jan 07
After what all was said about Iraq that wasn't true, I'm not sure what to believe.
I have heard that Iran does have nukes, tho.
@visitorinvasion (7709)
• United States
27 Jan 07
I just heard on prisonplanet that North Korea is offering "nuclear education" to Iran. They want to teach Iran how to "test" a nuclear warhead like North Korea say they did a while back. I wish this pissing contest was over.
1 person likes this
@MrNiceGuy (4141)
• United States
27 Jan 07
"A nuclear program that is still several years away from producing a weapon."
-With the new centrifuges they're working on, they could have it in less than a year.
"He's busy killing Iranians any place he finds them at this time, just to annoy the Iranian leadership."
-Any place he finds him?! Try Iraq. Thats because they are fighting US troops and Iraqis in Iraq! puhlease.
"Witness that Israel with American support of every kind, has bullied and played agressor in the region"
-hahah, yeah and the Arab countries are completely innocent.. pfft.
"The Palestinians are currently starving because they will not throw out the democraticly elected non Bush approve4d parliament, so they can't get the International aid that is owed to them. "
-Yes they do. The US gave them $7 billion... Where are the other ARab countries? What are they doing with their money? It's funny that the West gives more aid to Palestine than Arab countries.
@nuffsed (1271)
•
27 Jan 07
Quote Mrniceguy: "
"A nuclear program that is still several years away from producing a weapon."
-With the new centrifuges they're working on, they could have it in less than a year."
They could? ..Your (non Bush) source.
I say they couldn't!!!
~~~~~
""He's busy killing Iranians any place he finds them at this time, just to annoy the Iranian leadership."
-Any place he finds him?! Try Iraq. Thats because they are fighting US troops and Iraqis in Iraq! puhlease."
~~~~~~~~~~
I'm simply showing a more balanced view than your white knight sabre rattling!!!
In breech of diplomatic protocols:....
Five Iranians were detained by U.S.-led forces earlier this month after a raid on an Iranian government liaison office in northern Iraq. The move further frayed relations between the two countries, already tense because of U.S.-led efforts to force Tehran to abandon its suspected nuclear weapons program..
~~~~~~~~~~
"Witness that Israel with American support of every kind, has bullied and played aggressor in the region"
-hahah, yeah and the Arab countries are completely innocent.. pfft.
Not at all but again, some balance as per the reports of Al-Jazira would not go amiss. The difference in quality and amount of ordinance makes comparison ludicrous. Israel is belligerant and making excessive capital out of its support from USA.
~~~~
""The Palestinians are currently starving because they will not throw out the democraticaly elected non Bush approve4d parliament, so they can't get the International aid that is owed to them. "
-Yes they do. The US gave them $7 billion... Where are the other ARab countries? What are they doing with their money? It's funny that the West gives more aid to Palestine than Arab countries."
The seven Billion was more than a year overdue, inadequate, and other funds have been held back by Israel. Funds from Arab States have to go via Israel, as Palestine is effectively locked in. It's a simple starvation siege.
I praise neither side. But I refute any effort to demonise the Palestinians or the Iranians since Bush has repeatedly scuppered any attempts at diplomacy.
He wants conflict. He knows it pays handsomely.
As I said before, There are no white knights here.
@Netsbridge (3253)
• United States
31 Jan 07
The US government is a very unfocused and hypocritical government. I believe the US government uses jingoism as a strategy to divert attention from its domestic problems and in attempts at piracy - its customary revenue generation tactics!
Iran, on the other hand, has always been a challenge to the US government. Iran is one of the very first Middle Eastern nations to see the US government for exactly what it is - imperialistic and very hypocritical! And Iran prepared itself against piracy governments by equipping itself when no other Middle Eastern nation was even dreaming of possible conflicts with the West. The Iranian government is simply knowledgeable and smart, and this, of course, is a problem to known piracy governments. It was this challenge that in fact led the US government to provide Iraq with WMD to destroy Iran during the Iran/Iraq war. Therefore, the reason why the US government would not believe Iraq did not have WMD!
1 person likes this
@ESKARENA1 (18261)
•
26 Jan 07
I think Iran is a threat not only to the middle east but to every other non islamic nation on earth. I think as a result of the idealogically driven politics of Iran an American invasion is imminent, unless of course Iran backs away from her neuclear policy
@AskAlly (3625)
• Canada
26 Jan 07
You ask a tough question. I abhor the thought of war under any circumstances. Do we need more UN involvement? Do we need to push for peace talks?
I personally would not want to see what the world would be like right now without the Americans. As much as some may disagree their presence has been a stabalizing factor in the world.
No countries policies or government, past or present has ever been perfect, but lets not forget the POSITIVE contributions that the US has made to the world either.
@babykay (2131)
• Ireland
26 Jan 07
It is possible that we would live in a caliphate right now, were it not for the presence of the US on the world stage. The other side of the coin is that were it not for the actions of the US in antagonizing Muslims worldwide, we would possibly live in a much safer world. Bush and the actions of his administration have radicalized many Muslims who would not be that way inclined.
@MrNiceGuy (4141)
• United States
27 Jan 07
And I have no problem refuting them...
The Lancet isn't right. Its based on cluster sampling, not actual counting or intelligent estimates. They just take 47 places and extrapolate it for teh whole country. The UN itself says it was between 30,000 and 60,000.
http://www.iraqbodycount.net/
http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/WhosCounting/story?id=1432589
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v443/n7113/full/443728a.html
1 person likes this
@nuffsed (1271)
•
27 Jan 07
The Lancet is an Internationally respected journal capable of accessing the best minds on the planet. Their method has been argued over and found to be the best possible estimate used in many fields of scientific study and accepted as well within reason. The Lancet does not have any political axe to grind, or political bias.
1 person likes this
@janejaa (412)
• Pakistan
28 Jan 07
Dear Mr. Bush is nnot from the heaven that whatever he says must be true nor every word of his must be true. He made so many mistakes in attacking other countries which his cabinet he admitted. Many of his country men also admit the mistakes. The American has divided in 2 groups in the IRAQ strategy. They dont want to send any more army there. Moreover, every country has got the right to defence. Its not only US right to have nuclear weaponsfor their defence. Im not in favore of nuclear weapon nor Im favoring IRAN but what is right is right in every language and law.
We must look at equal position of other countries.
@drmoney (40)
• India
5 Feb 07
USA itself is a threat to the whole world..the destructive policies of US are actual problem...the instability in middle east occured after US attacked iraq n the conditions there have since become worst..US attacked iraq alleging it for possessing weapons of mass destruction, when there were no such things...the war on iraq has created sectarian violence there...everyday suiced/car bomb xplosions rips through places in iraq...now US wants to apply same policy for iran...this is holiganism n nothing else...
@mrijaz (408)
• India
27 Jan 07
Ya america will start its demolition from attacking Iran and after that bush plans to attack syria an that will be the final countdown of Bush, because it is all told in the God's book Quran. What is told in quran is truth...even about the world trade center attack..just wait and c the miracles of God..
@MrNiceGuy (4141)
• United States
27 Jan 07
Yes I believe they are a threat. They are known to be training, funding, and supporting Hizbollah terrorist attacks in Palestine and weapons smuggling through neutral Jordan. THey also support and send fighters to Iraq to fight amongst other Iraqis and the US forces.
It is obvious they should not have a nuclear program. I think that would be a terrible thing for stability in the region and for all the people there. And we're not even talking about their atrocious human/civil rights records for their own people.
@Smith2028 (797)
• United States
27 Jan 07
Yes, Iran is a legitimate, genuine threat. Irans government has one goal in mind and that is the destruction of all who stand in their way. Sooner or later it will be too late.
@trogoz (140)
• Italy
27 Jan 07
Here's my (european) point of view: Iran is playing a bit too much with two important topics (the Holocaust and the atombomb) which are also a taboo for the western civilization ("us"). I'm against war at all and i fear it but as Usa government did declare war for much less i think we are really at the break point. Moreover UN sanctions had almost no effect on Iran's politics....