Forex, technical analysis

@moreinfo (3865)
China
March 2, 2007 7:56pm CST
Technical Analysis Technical analysis is the study of market data such as historical and current price data and volume in an effort to forecast future market activity. Historical price data is the most commonly used available data that is implemented into the analysis. Historical market data is saved and forms charts over various periods of time. The technical trader can analyze varying periodical charts over a specific length of time for the basic purpose of picking the entry and exit levels of a trade. By studying the chart the chartist is able to get information at a glance that will hopefully represent the direction of the instrument in the future. There is a never ending argument between fundamentalists and technical analysts about which method of analysis will show the best results. Technical analysts will claim that all the fundamentals are already built into the price, and so apart from natural disasters and unexpected world events the current price shows the market's expected value taking all the known information into consideration. The chartists are in fact looking for patterns or repetitions in price movements to guess the likely outcome of future prices – in a word they are looking for trends. Technical analysis assumes three main points, 1. Fundamentals are already built into the price 2. History has a habit of repeating itself – find what happened in the past and project it into the future. 3. Trends are key – establish whether the instrument is moving in a trend, and then follow it. Typically there are three variations upward, downward or side wards. Once the type of trend is established an entry point is picked for the commencement of the trade. Over the years various mathematical manipulations were placed upon market prices and volumes. Theses manipulations (known as studies) helped the technical analyst focus on identifying the trend and the entry and exit levels. As with any analysis, discipline is the most important aspect of the study. If your studies showed that something was to occur, then follow your studies – do not let the market change your plan. If you were wrong then you were wrong, but stick to your game plan. (see Technical Trading Tips and Guide to Trading for helpful hints to trade). Members could find more here: http://www.avafx.com/resources/educ/forex-technical-analysis/
2 people like this
5 responses
• Portugal
5 Mar 07
I'm starting at this forex thing and I found every peace of information important.
1 person likes this
• Singapore
6 Mar 07
Hi Roger, its nice to hear that you are starting out. Post some question and I'm sure that ski and I and the guys interested will be there to help. I learnt most of the stuff i know through asking and reading too. Cheers to a bright lively future.
• Egypt
5 Mar 07
Gr8 Discussion .. da Technical analysis too important for any trader with this market for sure .. but almost of da ideas or da indicators give da signals after passing alot of pips .. mean ya join da deal in da half .. so that i prefer use da technical analysis with da 4hs or daily charts ... ( i luv to deal with da digital analyses ) thx again abt this gr8 Discussion .
• Singapore
5 Mar 07
Yap, TA is very important for any trader regardless of which market he plays. Most indicators available now in the markets are lagging indicators. The only leading analysis that I've come into notice is the Fibonacci levels. Using the 4hrs and daily charts in Forex trading would let you capitalize on the bigger pips. From 50 - 100 or more pips. Glad you are trading that way. Too many scalpers around the 15min and 30min getting killed because of their failure to take profit fast enough.
1 person likes this
@mypigbox (2245)
• China
3 Mar 07
Technical analysis depend on the historical data,so it seems giving the history,no the things in the future.
1 person likes this
@NatureBoy (493)
• Singapore
5 Mar 07
The basic rule, IMO is that technical analysis would come before market news. I don't want to say that market news is fundamental, but it does make up a certain percentage of it. And you are very correct that chartist look at various repeat patterns, hoping to spot a similar one and be able to trade in the same fashion. Some how, through the year, patterns have always been reforming, and most people can't say why. It just happens. This is more often seen in the commodities market where the price patterns are fixed to the movement of the commodities like futures or forward contracts of soya bean, palm oil, etc.
1 person likes this
@bsteeves (34)
• United States
17 Jul 07
check out www.technicalstockcharts.blogspot.com for more information on technical analysis.